Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.169209 0.193044 0.219539 0.251262 0.288327 0.330401 0.381972
2026-01-18 0.134698 0.167098 0.206739 0.259213 0.327453 0.414011 0.533430
2026-01-25 0.112110 0.147584 0.194073 0.260308 0.353633 0.482529 0.677724
2026-02-01 0.096426 0.132971 0.183530 0.259940 0.374878 0.545261 0.824522
2026-02-08 0.084217 0.120670 0.173427 0.257216 0.390498 0.600581 0.969853
2026-02-15 0.074572 0.110429 0.164382 0.253879 0.403465 0.652605 1.119406
2026-02-22 0.068829 0.105125 0.161785 0.259750 0.431502 0.733390 1.336041
2026-03-01 0.062098 0.097357 0.154142 0.255878 0.441777 0.784331 1.507846
2026-03-08 0.057158 0.091849 0.149398 0.256067 0.458921 0.850340 1.724501
2026-03-15 0.052862 0.086898 0.144927 0.255949 0.475169 0.917111 1.958638
2026-03-22 0.050039 0.084133 0.143869 0.261858 0.503878 1.014169 2.285803
2026-03-29 0.047275 0.081159 0.142050 0.265954 0.529404 1.109131 2.633773
2026-04-05 0.044655 0.078244 0.140129 0.269832 0.555699 1.212499 3.037797
2026-04-12 0.042653 0.076278 0.139795 0.276948 0.590497 1.343598 3.560415
2026-04-19 0.040151 0.073107 0.136753 0.277889 0.611325 1.445116 4.032768
2026-04-26 0.037757 0.069911 0.133308 0.277454 0.628787 1.541863 4.524655
2026-05-03 0.035354 0.066474 0.129009 0.274514 0.639581 1.623258 4.996799
2026-05-10 0.033122 0.063181 0.124673 0.270919 0.648120 1.700413 5.484060
2026-05-17 0.031942 0.061935 0.124552 0.277243 0.683794 1.864648 6.353355
2026-05-24 0.030005 0.058939 0.120331 0.273072 0.690326 1.942717 6.926548
2026-05-31 0.028565 0.056879 0.117988 0.273275 0.709205 2.064438 7.731757
2026-06-07 0.027213 0.054898 0.115631 0.273148 0.727186 2.188068 8.604604
2026-06-14 0.026404 0.054036 0.115757 0.279513 0.765708 2.391910 9.946715